Tetlock

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction [Repost]  eBooks & eLearning

Posted by IrGens at Nov. 10, 2016
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction [Repost]

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner
English | September 29, 2015 | ISBN: 0804136696, 0804136718 | EPUB | 352 pages | 2.08 MB

Superforecasting - Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose  eBooks & eLearning

Posted by ksveta6 at Aug. 10, 2016
Superforecasting - Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose

Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner, "Superforecasting - Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose"
2016 | ISBN: 3100800249 | German | 336 pages | EPUB | 2 MB

Expert Political Judgment: How Good is it? How can We Know?  eBooks & eLearning

Posted by FenixN at April 7, 2016
Expert Political Judgment: How Good is it? How can We Know?

Download
Audio CDs in MP3 / English: MP3, 64 kb/s (2 ch) | Duration: 09:24:25 | 2013 | ISBN-10: N/A | ASIN: B00GN5XA3U | 134 MB
Genre: Politics

The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This audiobook fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction [Audiobook]

Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner, Joel Richards (Narrator), "Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction"
ASIN: B0131HGPQQ, ISBN: 1511358491 | 2015 | [email protected] kbps/PDF (charts) | ~09:31:00 | 195 MB

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (repost)  eBooks & eLearning

Posted by viserion at Dec. 6, 2015
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (repost)

Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner, "Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction"
ISBN: 0804136696 | 2015 | EPUB | 352 pages | 2 MB

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction [Repost]  eBooks & eLearning

Posted by Bayron at Sept. 29, 2015
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction [Repost]

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner
English | 2015 | ISBN: 0804136696 | 352 pages | EPUB | 2 MB

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction  eBooks & eLearning

Posted by ksveta6 at Aug. 21, 2015
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner
2015 | ISBN: 0804136696 | English | 352 pages | EPUB | 1 MB

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? [Repost]  eBooks & eLearning

Posted by Bayron at Jan. 16, 2015
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? [Repost]

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? by Philip E. Tetlock
English | 2006 | ISBN: 0691128715, 0691123020 | 352 pages | EPUB | 5 MB
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

Philip E. Tetlock, "Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?"
ISBN: 0691128715, 0691123020 | 2006 | EPUB | 352 pages | 5 MB
Unmaking the West: "What-If?" Scenarios That Rewrite World History (repost)

Dr. Philip Tetlock, "Unmaking the West: "What-If?" Scenarios That Rewrite World History"
English | 2006 | ISBN: 0472031430 | PDF | 432 pages | 23.4 MB

What if the Persians had won at Salamis? What if Christ had not been crucified? What if the Chinese had harnessed steam power before the West? Disparaged by some as a mere parlor game, counterfactual history is seen by others as an indispensable historical tool. Taking as their point of inquiry the debate over the inevitability of the rise of the West, the eminent scholars in Unmaking the West argue that there is no escaping counterfactual history. Whenever we make claims of cause and effect, we commit ourselves to the assumption that if key links in the causal chain were broken, history would have unfolded otherwise.